Mike's Notes

034 NFL bets/ making good forecasts

Informações:

Sinopsis

Does Bill Simmons make super forecasts? Let's look at his NFL podcast preview and see. We'll look at: 1/ Finding good value and not obvious winners. 2/ Stay away when things are too hard. 3/ Mean reversion when randomness abounds. 4/ SITG. 5/ Invert (always invert!). 6/ What are the full range of outcomes?