Gambling With An Edge
Gambling With an Edge - guest Jason Pipkin
- Autor: Vários
- Narrador: Vários
- Editor: Podcast
- Duración: 0:52:13
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Sinopsis
Our guest this week is Jason Pipkin. Jason is a neuroscientist who gambles semi-professionally on elections at predictit.org. We welcome your questions - send them to us at gamblingwithanedge@gmail.com, or you can find me at @RWM21 on Twitter or https://www.facebook.com/GamblingWithAnEdge. podcast Click to listen - Alt click to download Show Notes [00:00] Introduction of Jason Pipkin, frequent bettor at Predictit.org[00:58] How did Jason get started on Predictit.org?[02:48] Jason's background and predictingpolitics.com[04:30] Commissions and contract limits[10:26] Biden and Trump double max contract example[12:35] Liquidity and market efficiency[14:35] Can personal political biases affect profitability?[16:04] Arbitrage[17:38] Trading frequency[18:45] Volatility[20:16] Holding periods and exit strategy[21:28] Black swan betting[23:08] 2016 Presidential election market strategies[24:42] FiveThirtyEight.com[25:48] Computer analysis and modeling[26:59] Predictit.org market forums[28:40] What