Trend Talks With Itr Economics

This week on TrendsTalk, Taylor St. Germain breaks down where US exports and imports are growing, which countries are losing ground, and why the EU has emerged as the clear trade “winner” in 2025. Despite these changes, the US remains the top destination for foreign direct investment, a key driver for onshoring, reshoring, and long-term industrial growth. What will this mean for manufacturers and business leaders heading into 2026?

This week on TrendsTalk, Taylor St. Germain from ITR Economics unpacks the latest leading indicators for the US Industrial Economy. While growth is still on the horizon for 2026, several key indicators are moving sideways, signaling a milder rise than previous recovery cycles. What does this mean for capacity planning and business strategy? Tune in to learn why understanding not just the direction but also the amplitude of growth is critical for accurate forecasting and planning.

This week on TrendsTalk, Taylor St. Germain reviews the latest data showing manufacturing’s growth rate accelerating after a tough 2024. While some sectors like heavy-duty trucks, medical equipment, and light vehicle production remain under pressure, the outlook points to recovery in 2025 and broad-based growth by 2026. Will your business be ready to keep up with the pace of expansion?

This week on TrendsTalk, Taylor St. Germain from ITR Economics explains the concept of “profitless prosperity”, a future where businesses see revenue growth but shrinking profit margins due to rising costs. While economic growth is expected through 2028, inflation and cost pressures may limit profitability. How can your business avoid this trap? Taylor outlines strategies for balancing pricing power with productivity and efficiency, and why developing a three-year plan is critical for protecting margins in an inflationary environment.

This week on TrendsTalk, Taylor St. Germain break down how different income brackets are handling rising costs in food, housing, and healthcare. While higher earners continue to see spending remain below historical averages, lower and middle-income households are facing mounting affordability challenges. What does this divide mean for consumer spending and long-term economic growth?

This week on TrendsTalk, Taylor St. Germain shares the latest housing market update. Single-family housing starts are in a slowdown now, but forecasts point to growth in 2026 and 2027. We review current mortgage rates, home prices, and how incomes are expected to outpace inflation. What do the latest trends mean for homebuyers, builders, and the real estate market outlook? Tune in to learn more!

Purchase the recording of our July Webinar “Contending With Uncertainty and Change” → https://hubs.la/Q03wX5Jk0 Contact us today to learn more about how you can benefit from Financial Resilience! → https://hubs.la/Q035Qlcs0 This week on TrendsTalk, we discuss where we are seeing some exciting growth happening in the US economy, with high-tech sectors such as data centers and semiconductors surging ahead while legacy industries remain flat. Which of these high-tech markets holds the biggest opportunities for your business? Tune in to find out!

Purchase the recording of our July Webinar “Contending With Uncertainty and Change” → https://hubs.la/Q03wX5Jk0 Contact us today to learn more about how you can benefit from Financial Resilience! → https://hubs.la/Q035Qlcs0 This week on TrendsTalk, we discuss the promising signs of near-term US economic growth, which include renewed momentum in industrial, manufacturing, and business investment. But with economic uncertainty still lingering, how can businesses best position themselves now to thrive when the economy soars? Tune in to find out.

Purchase the recording of our July Webinar “Contending With Uncertainty and Change” → https://hubs.la/Q03wX5Jk0 Contact us today to learn more about how you can benefit from Financial Resilience! → https://hubs.la/Q035Qlcs0 This week on TrendsTalk, we unpack the latest July jobs report and highlight what the data really says about the current state of the labor market. Tune in for strategic insights into cutting through the negative headlines and optimizing your hiring strategy in a weaker labor market!

Purchase our July Webinar “Contending With Uncertainty and Change” → https://hubs.la/Q03wX5Jk0 Contact us today to learn more about how you can benefit from Financial Resilience! → https://hubs.la/Q035Qlcs0 This week on TrendsTalk, ITR Economist Lauren Saidel-Baker joins the show to discuss the recent Federal Reserve decision to keep rates steady. With a growing internal division within the Fed, are we anticipating rate cuts in September? Watch this week’s episode to find out!

Register for our July Webinar “Contending With Uncertainty and Change” → https://hubs.la/Q03wX5Jk0 Contact us today to learn more about how you can benefit from Financial Resilience! → https://hubs.la/Q035Qlcs0 This week on TrendsTalk, we discuss how Private Nonresidential Construction has entered Phase D, Recession, as we highlight which sectors are contracting and which still show growth. How significant will this downturn be and when will we start to see signs of recovery for the segment? Tune in to find out!

Register for our July Webinar “Contending With Uncertainty and Change” → https://hubs.la/Q03wX5Jk0 Contact us today to learn more about how you can benefit from Financial Resilience! → https://hubs.la/Q035Qlcs0 This week on TrendsTalk, we break down why inflation remains a major hurdle for businesses, with interest rate relief unlikely and costs expected to climb through 2029. Want to grow your business without sacrificing margins in this high-cost environment? Tune in to learn how!

Register for our July Webinar “Contending With Uncertainty and Change” → https://hubs.la/Q03wX5Jk0 Contact us today to learn more about how you can benefit from Financial Resilience! → https://hubs.la/Q035Qlcs0 This week on TrendsTalk, we explore how the recently signed One Big Beautiful Bill relates to our 2030s Great Depression forecast. How will the record-setting government spending of today shape your business strategy for the next decade? Tune in to find out!

Contact us today to learn more about how you can benefit from Financial Resilience! → https://hubs.la/Q035Qlcs0 This week on TrendsTalk, ITR Economist Taylor St. Germain discusses the current lull in capital expenditures due to heightened trade policy uncertainty. However, with promising signs of recovery in the second half of the year, what can businesses do now to best position themselves for the expected growth through 2026? Tune in to find out!

Contact us today to learn more about how you can benefit from Financial Resilience! → https://hubs.la/Q035Qlcs0 This week on TrendsTalk, ITR Economist Taylor St. Germain highlights US Industrial Production, noting it is gaining momentum and is forecasted to improve steadily through 2026. What are the main sectors driving this growth? Are you positioning your business to make the most of the growth ahead? Watch the full episode to learn more!

Contact us today to learn more about how you can benefit from Financial Resilience! → https://hubs.la/Q035Qlcs0 This week on TrendsTalk, ITR Economist Taylor St. Germain notes that while US Retail Sales and GDP remain strong, consumer expectations are down – as sentiment is aligning more with stock market performance. Tune in this week to find out why headlines about consumer anxiety can be misleading for the broader economy.

Contact us today to learn more about how you can benefit from Financial Resilience! → https://hubs.la/Q035Qlcs0 This week on TrendsTalk, ITR Economist Taylor St. Germain highlights our forecast for US Single-Unit Housing Starts, noting that business leaders can expect a mid decline in 2025 due to several factors. What growth opportunities await in 2026 and 2027, and how can your business prepare to navigate the short-term slowdown and thrive in the years ahead? Tune in to learn more!

Contact us today to learn more about how you can benefit from Financial Resilience! → https://hubs.la/Q035Qlcs0 This week on TrendsTalk, ITR Economist Taylor St. Germain explains that while foreign and domestic investment in the US is surging, tariffs are not driving the reshoring trend. What is behind this surge and what key advantages make the US the top destination? Tune in to find out!

Contact us today to learn more about how you can benefit from Financial Resilience! → https://hubs.la/Q035Qlcs0 This week on TrendsTalk, ITR Economist Lauren Saidel-Baker highlights the reduction of both tariffs on Chinese imports and reciprocal tariffs for a 90-day period. How will this 90-day window with reduced tariffs impact on business costs and market competition? Tune in to find out!

Contact us today to learn more about how you can benefit from Financial Resilience! → https://hubs.la/Q035Qlcs0 This week on TrendsTalk, ITR Economist Taylor St. Germain reviews that 1Q25 US GDP data and provides expert insight into the 0.3% decline and how it compares to a traditional recession. With many businesses still in the recovery phase of the business cycle, what do our indicators tell us about the future of the economy, and how can businesses best prepare for the upcoming years? Find out here!