Sinopsis
Investor Hour with Porter Stansberry and Buck Sexton
Episodios
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The Four Key Factors for Analyzing Fed Events Amid a Deepening Banking Crisis
01/05/2023 Duración: 01h07minThis week's episode of Stanberry Investor Hour features John Netto, author of investing book The Global Macro Edge. Dan and Corey start the episode by examining the recent failure of First Republic Bank – the second-largest U.S. bank failure to date – and its acquisition by JPMorgan Chase. They raise concerns about the ongoing banking crisis and the role the government plays in backing "too big to fail" banks. With three of the four largest bank failures in U.S. history happening in the past two months, there's growing uncertainty heading into this week's Federal Reserve meetings. Then, John joins the conversation and shares insights from his book, including the concept of how emotions act as the lubricant for decision-making. He says that traders often make the mistake of analyzing their success based solely on the results rather than how well they executed their process. To combat this phenomenon, John created the "Netto number." He explains how it can help investors recognize when their strategy begins
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'The Next Bankruptcy Wave is Just Starting'
24/04/2023 Duración: 01h03minIn this week's Stanberry Investor Hour, Dan welcomes fellow Stansberry Research analyst Mike DiBiase to the show. Mike came to Stansberry in 2014 after spending nearly two decades in finance and accounting. He now serves as our bond-investment expert. To kick the episode off, Dan and Corey discuss the latest home-sales data, how these numbers compare with the previous year's, and what this means for the economy going forward. Dan emphasizes that the housing market is a crucial indicator of a looming recession, and he questions the potential impact of inflation when the market collapses... "Yes, we're going to cry uncle at some point... when the market [does], where will inflation be?" Mike then joins the conversation, and the three delve deeper into recessionary trends and post-pandemic inflation. Mike explains why the current inflationary period reminds him of a famous quote by economist Milton Friedman – "Money-printing is like alcoholism" – and that the bad effects have to come first to cure inflation. ➡️
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Liquidity is Collapsing and the Fed's Still Taking Away the Punch Bowl'
17/04/2023 Duración: 01h02minIn this week's episode of the Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan welcomes back Mike McGlone, a Senior Commodities strategist for Bloomberg Intelligence with over 25 years of experience in the industry. Mike shares his insights on the direction of US agriculture, the possibility of liquidity collapsing, and the current bear market rally. Prior to the interview, Dan and Corey discuss the escalating tensions between Taiwan and China. They mention how due to these geopolitical concerns, Warren Buffet recently sold 86% of his position in Taiwan Semiconductor Company (NYSE: TSM). However, Buffet's move into Japanese investments, which he currently owns about 7.4% of, is consistent with his belief in America's resilience. Dan notes that he won't necessarily follow Buffet's lead, but it's still interesting to see what he does. “This could be the greatest economic reset of our lifetime.” Then, Dan introduces Mike, and the two break down how the S&P 500 and bond market both suffered significant corrections last year due
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The Secret to Beating 'Mr. Market': A Lesson in Value Investing
10/04/2023 Duración: 57minIn this episode of the Stansberry Investor Hour, Tobias Carlisle discusses the current investment landscape and how many value investors have shifted their focus to growth stocks. Prior to the interview, Dan discusses the concept of "Mr. Market" versus the "smart money". He cites a quote from Benjamin Graham's book Security Analysis, where he states that the stock market is a voting machine in the short term and a weighing machine in the long term. While this may be true for some companies, Dan suggests that there are many whose value doesn't change nearly as much as the stock market suggests, citing periods of sideways movement in the stock market as examples. Then Dan and Tobias delve into the energy sector, noting the challenges of transitioning to EVs and solar. Tobias emphasizes the limitations of nuclear energy and the challenges of investing in the financial and banking sector. He prefers investing in businesses that are in a more broken-down state and cites coal companies as an example. ➡️ Watch Here
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'The Future Drives the Present' - Controlling Risk to Outperform Tomorrow's Markets
03/04/2023 Duración: 55minDan and Corey delve into the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index and its latest release from last week. They discuss the significance of this development and how it could affect the Federal Reserve's decision to raise interest rates. The two also point out that recent behavior in the bond market suggests that the end of the Federal Reserve's rate-hike plans may be near. While this move may contribute to future CPI and PCE numbers, Dan and Corey are not entirely convinced that it will solve the other issues in the economy. Then, Dan introduces Michael Harris, a renowned quantitative trader who is credited with developing the first program to identify anomalies in price action and generate automatic code for popular platforms. Michael is also a prolific author, having written four books on price recognition and his market analysis blog, Price Action Lab. Michael explains his approach to trading and notes that while there are no barriers to entry in trading, the biggest challenge is maintaining discipl
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Leveraging Opportunities in the Age of 24-Hour Financial News
27/03/2023 Duración: 01h02minClick here to sign up for Marc's latest event: https://www.chaikinevent.com We're excited to welcome back Marc Chaikin, founder of Chaikin Analytics. In this episode, Marc and Dan delve into the ongoing banking crisis and explore why Marc views this "bear" market as a buying opportunity. As an experienced investor, Marc understands the challenges of staying informed in today's complex fiscal and monetary landscape: "If you're an investor, you've got to be looking for opportunities and it's a really trite saying, but there's a bull market somewhere." He notes that we're currently experiencing a rolling run-up, with stocks beginning to bottom out and go into uptrends. Marc argues that labeling the market as a bull or bear is less important than seeking out investment opportunities. Finally, he highlights the risks of assuming the market will continue to behave a certain way, and why investors need to focus on finding opportunities regardless of market conditions. ➡️ Watch Here
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The Real Culprit Behind the Banking Crisis
20/03/2023 Duración: 01h05minThis week, a Stansberry Investor Hour listener-favorite returns to the show... Kevin Duffy, editor of The Coffee Can Portfolio newsletter and hedge-fund manager, is back. And on his mind is the spectacular, near-overnight collapse of banks. But the foundation of this month's banking fiasco was laid years ago. He explains how it all started... how Silicon Valley banks had risky loan books balanced with less-risky U.S. Treasurys... how banks' assets tripled during the two years of pandemic-driven government stimulus... and how the bond bubble burst and set off a chain reaction. Kevin also shares that the root of the problem comes from the U.S.'s fractional-reserve banking system and reliance on the Federal Reserve and leverage. A simple way to understand the problems with today's banks is to list the characteristics of an ideal hedge fund. When that list is inverted, it describes a modern-day fractional-reserve bank. ➡️ Watch Here
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'Never Has the Fed Raised Rates Into a Recession'
13/03/2023 Duración: 56minShockwaves from the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank are rippling through markets – from stocks to oil and cryptocurrency. The Stansberry Investor Hour welcomes back legendary trader Todd "Bubba" Horwitz to warn about bank bailouts and his thoughts on "the absurdity" of the Federal Reserve. Bubba tells Dan Ferris and Corey McLaughlin how he's trading soft commodities and mentions how it could be daunting for most investors. But for the brave who buy these assets at good prices, they're in for a reward: "I think we're due for a big market across the board pretty much in all commodities, especially the consumable-goods commodities. Gold and silver, I think they're going to go higher but they're not consumable – they're going to be needed for money pretty soon." Bubba also explains why the "Fed pivot" narrative is a myth... why the 10-year Treasury yield could run up to 6%... and why you should sometimes take a break from financial media, leaving listeners with his final words: "Don't let the
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Our 300th Episode Mailbag Special, Plus the 'Godfather of Fundamental Indexing' Rob Arnott
06/03/2023 Duración: 01h11minThis week, you'll get a glimpse of what goes on in the mind of a true innovator in financial strategy. Hailed by Dan as the "godfather of fundamental indexing," Rob Arnott, founder and chairman of the board of Research Affiliates, returns for another provocative interview. As promised, Dan and his co-host Corey kick things off with a mailbag special to celebrate Stansberry Investor Hour's 300th episode. Thanks to listeners like you, we've collected quite a few e-mails. So today, the duo will tackle a couple of the burning questions you've sent us. Another milestone in today's episode comes in the form of Research Affiliates' proprietary RAFI Fundamental Index ("RAFI") strategy, which is nearing its 20th anniversary. Rob shares some history about his pioneering work that's used by industry heavyweights like Charles Schwab and PIMCO. Rob also warns against following the herd by explaining what happens when you mix availability bias and a bubble. And, with the help of monkeys, he shares how inherently flawed the
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'You Need Grit to Quit' – Knowing When to Walk Away With Annie Duke
27/02/2023 Duración: 01h01minWe're eager to have former professional poker player, public speaker, and bestselling author Annie Duke on this week's episode to discuss her latest book, Quit: The Power of Knowing When to Walk Away, teaches you how to be a smart quitter. "Quitters never win, winners never quit." That's not true. Winners actually quit a lot. And it's in fact how they win. When you look at the best investors, they are so good at getting off the positions that aren't so worthwhile that they can then reinvest that capital into things that are worthwhile..." Annie also discusses the psychology behind other common pitfalls for retail investors, like loss aversion, focusing on portfolio outliers, relying on intuition, and more. Today's episode is one you won't want to miss. ➡️ Watch Here 00:00 Inflation status quo 5:08 Recession prospect 11:26 Quit: The Power of Knowing When to Walk Away 19:59 Winners and losers in stock picking 27:08 How does intuition play out in investing? 32:10 Checklist manifesto in investing 38:21 "Stick to
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Your Portfolio's Best Defense for an Uncertain 2023
21/02/2023 Duración: 01h10minStansberry Venture Technology editor Dave Lashmet returns to the show. He's our go-to for anything and everything related to emerging technologies. Whether it's the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war... more nuclear threats from North Korea... or the Chinese spy balloon fiasco... geopolitics has already become 2023's overarching theme. It's also why Dave is bullish on one corner of the market in particular... "The simple thesis is that we don't know what 2023 will be like for investors – if it'll be a bear, a bull, or a sideways market. But what we do know is that the best way to play defense in 2023 is going to be to buy defense stocks." Dave also shares one company's stock that is poised to soar thanks to its groundbreaking new stealth technology. And just like other defense stocks on Dave's radar, it has a "very, very, very long [tail]" and "monopolies [on technologies]." Plus, Dave also details exactly what he looks for when screening military tech stocks, along with his "secret decoder ring" for choosing pharma
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A Silver Exec's Top Advice on Precious Metals Investing
13/02/2023 Duración: 01h16sWe're excited about this week's Stansberry Investor Hour show... Keith Neumeyer – the founder, president, and CEO of major Canadian mining company First Majestic Silver – shares what it takes to make a fortune in the industry. As Keith explains, "The mining sector brings a huge amount of value to the human race" as many modern technologies rely on it, especially silver... All the different technologies we started to adopt as a human race in the mid-'80s and beyond, I just put two and two together and I said, "Silver is the glue that holds everything together. Without silver, none of this is going to work." Silver is crucial to modern society, and it can be highly rewarding... as long as you know what you're doing. Before signing off this week's podcast, Keith shares the top qualities novice investors should look for in a mining company. (Solid management is his top pick.) And he recommends not waiting too long to take profits or holding on for the elusive 10-bagger, saying... These things will spike all of
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The One Market Every Investor Should Add to Their Watchlist
06/02/2023 Duración: 01h10minThe biggest growth story of 2023 has been three years in the making. And today's Stansberry Investor Hour guest is at the forefront of it all... Commodity Supercycles editor Brian Tycangco is Stansberry Research's resident expert in the energy and natural resources space. After being shuttered behind strict COVID-19 policies for the past three years, China is finally open for business with the global markets again. Its residents – with trillions of dollars socked away during those long years – are itching to travel and spend. And the country's high-value manufacturing sites are set to lead a global bull market in electric vehicles. At the same time, Brian says we're seeing an increased U.S. manufacturing presence in labor markets like India, Indonesia, and Thailand – which means incredible investing opportunities across Southeast Asia. Also on today's podcast, Brian urges investors to not be so easily scared off by sensational headlines from Western media... like the furor over Chinese President Xi Jinping's
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The 'Blind Spot' of All Asset Managers
30/01/2023 Duración: 01h04minThis week, one of Dan's favorite guests returns for his fourth Stansberry Investor Hour appearance... Cullen Roche is the founder of portfolio-management firms Orcam Financial and Discipline Funds. He is also the author of two of the most widely circulated research papers in finance and a highly rated book named after his popular financial blog, Pragmatic Capitalism. But first, Dan and Corey examine the biggest news events of the past week. And some have gotten a little too close for comfort to the extreme scenarios in the "Top 10 Potential Surprises for 2023" episode. As for our guest's economic outlook, Cullen discusses why disinflation could be this year's theme... why it's too early to be picking bottoms in the "huge, slow-moving beast" of housing... and why he thinks the Federal Reserve is likely to hike rates a bit more before adopting a wait-and-see approach... ➡️ Watch Here
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Having the Tenacity as an Investor... No Matter the Climate
23/01/2023 Duración: 01h08minThis week, we're thrilled to welcome a brand-new guest to the Stansberry Investor Hour... who happens to be the lead analyst for Stansberry Research's longest-running flagship publication: Alan Gula. But first, Dan and his co-host Corey discuss the latest hot-button topics: Big Tech's sweeping wave of layoffs, why media coverage of the "debt-ceiling crisis" is just "pure noise," the "cat-and-mouse game" of the lag effects of Federal Reserve policy, and whether there could be an encore to last year's bond-market beatdown. Speaking of distressed investments... today's guest had a front-row seat to the financial crisis, as he was working Barclays Investment Bank's distressed-debt desk when Lehman Brothers filed for bankruptcy. Alan worked at some of Wall Street's biggest firms before joining Stansberry Research. "I think that any good recommendation has a good macro tailwind. And cycles are crucial from a macro standpoint," says Alan. But finding a winner requires more than just the right macroeconomic setup.
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'Path Matters More Than Prediction' – Assessing the Market Landscape for a 2023 'Melt Up'
17/01/2023 Duración: 01h04minFor today's episode of Stansberry Investor Hour, we've managed to reel in one of Dan's favorite Twitter personalities: Michael Gayed. Michael is the brains behind The Lead-Lag Report, a long-term investment strategy newsletter. According to Michael, "Path matters more than prediction, "... especially in the credit event and the market rally he sees possible in 2023. He relies on multiple indicators that "get ahead of highly volatile regime shifts in equities," and "when they [the indicators] all give you the same message, that's your tell." Michael also breaks down the lumber-to-gold indicator for market moves... the fallacies in market timing and adapting to the market... the meaning behind his Twitter profile picture... and more. Plus, you'll also hear Dan and Corey discuss how stock bulls pinning their hopes on a Fed pivot could be in for a disappointment and the latest in shenanigans from the duo's favorite dethroned crypto king.
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How to Make Volatility Work for You in 2023
09/01/2023 Duración: 01h07sWe're back to our regular Stansberry Investor Hour programming this week. And to kick off a new year of the show, we welcome Greg Diamond, editor of Ten Stock Trader. A chartered market technician ("CMT") and Stansberry's resident expert in technical analysis, Greg has almost 20 years of experience in portfolio management and trading across every asset class you can think of. That's why he's the perfect fit for Ten Stock Trader – Stansberry's unique daily trading service in which Greg has nailed down multiple double- and triple-digit winners. According to Greg, "2023 is going to be marked with incredible trading opportunities." He explains that one of the tools for navigating market volatility this year is being able to identify certain trends, and he also explains how technical analysis can help you do that. His strategy might be intimidating for most, but Greg encourages folks to keep an open mind and step out of the box... This is a can't-miss episode. Check it out now.
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Top 10 Potential Surprises for 2023
04/01/2023 Duración: 01h06minToday was the first trading day of the new year. So for this week's Stansberry Investor Hour episode, we thought it'd only be fitting to kick off 2023 with our fourth annual "Top 10 Potential Surprises" for investors. Dan Ferris teams up with co-host Corey McLaughlin to bring you this year's list. Keeping with Dan's favorite adage of "Prepare, don't predict," these 10 surprises aren't predictions... They're possible events investors are unprepared for, based on current market conditions. We won't spoil the surprises. But just to give you an idea, you'll hear about... A bullish trend in two assets (including one Dan has never been a fan of) A commonly held view of today's bear market (and why it's a mistake) A specter of the 2021 stock market's most infamous names (and what it portends) A "blistering" market event (one that's guaranteed to "shock the hell out of everyone") A repeat of history (and an event Dan says is his "pet surprise" that he'll always have on his Top 10 list) Dan and Corey also as
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Our Mailbag Is Full, Thanks to You
26/12/2022 Duración: 01h05minThis week's Stansberry Investor Hour episode features multiple guests... And they're you, our listeners. You see, we've been reading every e-mail and listening to every voicemail as they've come in. So for today's episode, we're opening the floodgates and sharing as many of your mailbag missives as we can cram into the show's hour. We'll share your feedback – both good and bad – and questions that run the gamut from... What is the most interesting buy-and-hold opportunity considering the crisis in Europe? To... Is Dan about to pass away? Dan and his co-host Corey McLaughlin tackle all your comments and questions. You'll also hear... Dan and Corey's picks for "the most interesting buy-and-hold opportunity" The duo's take on Big Tech's layoffs What made one listener say, "It's the equivalent of Dan getting married and not telling us who this new person is" Why Stansberry Research values conflicting opinions The next "sleeper" crisis that's lurking for the U.S., according to Corey Dan's vote for the "
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'You Need to Do the Arithmetic' with Rick Rule
19/12/2022 Duración: 01h08minThis week's Stansberry Investor Hour guest is hailed by Dan Ferris as "the blueprint for a great guest." And co-host Corey McLaughlin says, "I get excited when I know he's going to be talking somewhere." Rick Rule is back for his fourth appearance. For our newer listeners, Rick is one of the most accomplished natural resource investors on the planet. He began his financial career in the securities business in 1974 and has been principally involved with natural resource securities ever since. And over his long career, Rick has originated and participated in hundreds of debt and equity transactions with private, pre-public, and public companies. Even after a decade of serving as Sprott U.S. president and CEO, he's still spending his retirement years in the markets as founder and CEO of Rule Investment Media. After opening with "the most entertaining [news] item" on their minds this week and an in-depth discussion on natural resource stocks, last week's latest Consumer Price Index report, Big Tech layoffs, and u