Off The Record With Paul Hodes

***Please subscribe to Matt's Substack at https://worthknowing.substack.com/***Matt Robison brings on two top finance experts to dive into the recent financial turmoil and explore what business leaders are thinking, impacts on personal finances, and strategies for navigating uncertainty. Chris Hill, host of Money Unplugged ( www.moneyunpluggedpod.com), provides insights on market trends and the importance of cash reserves, while Mike Morton, host of Five Minute Finance (MortonFA.com), shares strategies for personal investing during volatile times. Key topics include the influence of major tech companies, the role of international investments, and the significance of company earnings reports.00:00 Introduction to Financial Turmoil01:00 Meet the Experts: Chris Hill and Mike Morton01:50 2024 Market Overview05:38 Current Market Conditions and Predictions11:55 Professional Insights and Metrics21:38 Investment Advice for Uncertain Times28:21 Predictions and Hot Takes32:49 Final Thoughts and Podcast Highlights

Democrats' Strategy Amid Trump's Decline. In this episode of the Worth Knowing Live Stream, Matt Robison explores how we can be certain that the public tide has turned on Donald Trump, and what Democrats should do about it. Joined by David Pepper, former Chairman of the Democratic Party of Ohio, the conversation explores the implications of recent polling data that shows Trump's steep decline in favorability, the importance of state-level politics and the need for Democrats to compete in traditionally red areas to reshape their image and hold Republicans accountable.***Subscribe*** to Matt Robison's Substack: https://worthknowing.substack.com/***Subscribe*** to David Pepper's Substack: https://davidpepper.substack.com/00:00 Introduction and Today's Topic02:12 Analyzing Trump's Early Term Polling13:33 Media Influence and Public Opinion18:31 Democratic Strategy Moving Forward24:58 Uncontested Races and Media Influence36:19 The Power of State and Local Governance40:47 The Role of Prot

Unpacking Trump's Tariff Policy: Making Sense of Economic NonsenseMatt Robison and conservative economist Jessica Reidl draw parallels between Donald Trump's administration and the fictional Lumon Industries from the TV show 'Severance'. They delve into the seemingly chaotic and inscrutable nature of Trump's economic policies, particularly his tariff strategy. Jessica provides expert insights into the economic ramifications of these tariffs, debunks the justifications given for them, and examines whether they are part of a broader, more dysfunctional pattern in Trump's administration. The discussion highlights the economic contradictions and long-term risks posed by Trump's policies and questions the overall stability and future of the U.S. economy.00:00 Introduction: Comparing Trump to Severance03:59 Analyzing Trump's Tariff Policies08:10 The Contradictions in Tariff Justifications15:13 The Manufacturing Argument23:20 The China Tariff Situation30:17 The Bond Market's React

An Analysis of Trump's Economic Missteps and Their Global ImpactWe hit the economic policies of Donald Trump, particularly his tariffs and their detrimental effects on both the US and global markets. Guest Paul Hodes, former US Congressman and legal expert, joins to discuss emergency rulings by the Supreme Court and the implications of Trump's actions onthe Constitution . And we add Anne Kim's insights into how Trump's fundamental misunderstandings about the US economy are causing a 'train wreck' for America.00:00 Introduction and Upcoming Topics00:47 Trump's Constitutional Threats and Immigration Policies02:56 Supreme Court's Emergency Ruling on Deportations10:13 Birthright Citizenship and Legal Interpretations14:51 Classified Information and Congressional Access21:44 Interview with Ann Kim on Economic Issues23:14 The Economic Impact of Trump's Policies24:42 Trump's Misunderstanding of Tariffs and Manufacturing25:29 The Reality of the American Service Economy27:47 The

Trump's Last Line Toward Disaster: Is The Constitutional Crisis Here? Matt is joined by Jason Fields, Deputy Opinion Editor at Newsweek, and Substack podcast host Tony Michaels. They delve into the unfolding crisis under the Trump administration, highlighting the alarming disregard for court orders leading to the question of whether the constitutional crisis is here. Jason suggests a compelling parallel to 9/11, and the failure of imagination that is striking us all right now.Matt's Substack: https://worthknowing.substack.com/00:00 Introduction and Live Stream Announcement02:10 The Worst Trump Crisis Yet09:11 Constitutional Crisis Discussion15:40 Media's Role and Republican Complicity23:09 Harvard's Legal Battle and Supreme Court Defiance26:39 Media's Role in the Trump Era33:37 The Power of Economic Influence35:29 Current Political Climate and Polling Insights38:57 The Importance of Imagination in Crisis42:11 Conclusion and Final Thoughts

Exposing the Myths: The Real Elon Musk and the Trump Connection. Matt Robison interviews Shane Almgren about his deep-dive article on the myths surrounding Elon Musk and their startling parallels to the story of Donald Trump. Drawing on extensive research, the conversation reveals Musk's history of leveraging others' ideas and resources, much like Trump, and discusses Musk's current feud with the Trump administration's pro-tariff forces. The discussion also touches upon Musk's ideological leanings towards the 'Dark Enlightenment' movement and his potential endgame. Subscribe to Matt Robison's Subtack: https://worthknowing.substack.com/Subscribe to Shane Almgren's Substack: https://shanealmgren.substack.com/00:00 Introduction: The Outrageous Truth Behind Elon Musk03:54 Elon Musk's Fabricated Success Story08:48 The Real Story Behind PayPal14:26 The Zip2 Saga24:26 Speculation on Musk's Endgame34:19 Conclusion and Final Thoughts

***Subscribe for Free to Matt's New Substack***Exploring the End Game: Trump's Third Term and Hidden Agendas. Matt Robison and Howard Monroe delve into the potential end games of Donald Trump's administration and other hidden agendas influencing it. Building on his article published in Newsweek, they explore three possible end games within the MAGA movement. He and Howard Monroe discuss the feasibility of Trump serving a third term, the role of powerful figures like Elon Musk, and the disruptive agendas aimed at redefining U.S. government. Additionally, they explore the Democratic response to these challenges and strategies for future political battles. Matt's new substack is almost here: subscribe for free now here: https://worthknowing.substack.com/?r=7wgkb&utm_campaign=pub-share-checklist00:00 Introduction: The End Game for Trump01:54 Interview with Howard Monroe: Exploring Trump's Third Term02:27 Trump's Recent Moves: Elon Musk and Tariffs03:57 Howard Monroe's Interview: Tr

Matt Robison talks to Washington Monthly Bill Scher about why amidst all the awful things happening under Donald Trump there is some good news, and a few things going better than people realize. We cover why the filibuster may be more beneficial to Democrats than commonly believed, why Chuck Schumer may have done ok on his government funding decision, and why the cratering popularity of JD Vance is a big deal. To keep up with all of Matt's work, subscribe at this link:https://substack.com/@mattrobison2?utm_campaign=unknown&utm_medium=web00:00 Introduction: Taking a Deep Breath05:05 Discussion on Filibuster's Impact12:54 Shutdown Politics and Schumer's Decision19:32 Republican Challenges and JD Vance's Unpopularity24:38 The Shifting Politics of the Republican Party30:07 The Filibuster and Democratic Strategy32:15 Judiciary and Midterm Elections44:19 Medicaid and Medicare Debates

The Future of NATO: Is It on the Brink of Collapse? Matt discusses the potential end of NATO with Dan Perry, former Editor for the Associated Press. They explore the implications of the Trump administration's increasingly strained relations with European allies, NATO's role in containing Russia, and the broader impact on global democracy and trade. 01:06 Is NATO in a Death Spiral?05:40 The Importance of NATO Today09:43 US and NATO Relations17:09 Trump's Impact on NATO25:34 Future Scenarios for NATO

ProPublica Journalist Exposes Potential Collapse of Social Security Under Trump Administration: Matt is joined by ProPublica journalist Eli Hager to discuss his reporting on a recent secret recording from a top-level Social Security Administration meeting where the acting commissioner, Leland Dudek, expresses significant concerns that the Social Security system might "collapse" due to high-level directives from President Trump. We discuss the potential catastrophic consequences for 73 million Americans relying on the program and discusses how the Trump administration's actions are creating chaos and confusion within the Social Security Administration.00:00 Introduction: The Shocking Revelation00:34 The Secret Recording: A Deep Dive03:37 The Acting Commissioner: Leland Dudick's Background06:29 Inside the Meeting: Key Quotes and Insights11:14 The Impact on Social Security: Current and Future18:04 The Bigger Picture: Trump's Influence and Future Implications28:36 Conclusion: The Real Threat to Social Security

What happens to politics, to democracy, as AI gets ever more deeply embedded in everything we do? Matt interviews Dr. Michael Cohen, the author of 'Modern Political Campaigns', about how artificial intelligence is invading politics and how it could soon change American democracy. 01:08 Brain Rot: The Consequences of Consuming Online Drivel01:49 The Fog of Democracy: Challenges in the Information Age03:27 AI in Political Campaigns: Insights from Michael Cohen05:17 The Evolution of Campaign Technology08:48 The Permanent Campaign: Politics Beyond Elections12:36 Algorithmic Influence: AI's Role in Shaping Public Opinion23:46 The Dark Side: Risks of AI in Governance and Society28:52 Future Outlook: AI's Integration in Politics and Beyond32:48 Conclusion: The Pervasiveness of Modern Political Campaigns

Did Trump Already Hit His Peak? Matt Robison discusses with legendary radio broadcaster Howard Monroe whether Donald Trump has already hit his high watermark following his address to Congress. They examine polling data and historical context suggesting that it may be all downhill for Trump from here. The conversation also delves into the Democratic Party’s shortcomings in addressing their Trump strategy. 00:00 Introduction: Has Trump Peaked?02:22 Conversation with Howard Monroe03:52 Reactions to Trump's Speech10:34 Polling Insights and Public Perception12:59 Democratic Strategy and Messaging17:54 Concluding Thoughts and Future Outlook

The Future of the Republican Party: Matt Robison joins A.J. Kirstead from The New England Take and Republican writer Dexter Tarbox to tackle a provocative question: are we about to see the end of the Republican Party? Episode available at https://www.youtube.com/@newenglandtake.00:00 Introduction: The Republican Party's Closing Act?03:06 Discussion Begins: State of the Republican Party04:57 Coalition or Chaos? Internal GOP Dynamics07:27 Economic Shifts and Political Realignments10:00 Populism and Party Identity15:59 Trump's Influence and Future GOP Leadership20:49 Debating Inflation and Economic Policies28:55 Final Thoughts: GOP's Path Forward

Should Democrats Take Carville's Advice? And How Trump-Zelensky Meeting Unfolded: Democratic political analyst Matt Robeson and Republican political consultant Matt Wylie discuss James Carville's controversial advice for Democrats to 'roll over' against Trump and explore whether there's a better version of that idea that just might work. They also delve into the high-stakes meeting between Ukrainian President Zelensky and Trump, along with America's role in global democracy, Republicans' internal conflicts, and the vulnerabilities of both parties.00:00 Introduction: Should Democrats Follow Carville's Advice?00:49 Introducing Matt Wiley: A Republican Perspective02:04 The Trump-Zelensky Meeting: Real-Time Reactions04:31 Understanding Matt Wiley's Republican Stance09:14 Debating Trump's Foreign Policy and Its Implications25:23 James Carville's Controversial Strategy for Democrats26:38 Prosecuting the Case: A Republican Consultant's Perspective27:35 Democrats' L

The Exhausting Chore of Engaging with the News and How We Can Fix It: Matt Robison discusses the increasing difficulty and demoralization of modern news consumption and its negative impact on America--including how it empowers Trump. Important Links: Newsweek article Matt's Substack Cliff's Substack00:00 Introduction: The Exhausting Chore of Getting the News00:39 The Vicious Cycle of News Consumption02:08 Exploring the Change Research Study04:09 The Impact of Avoiding the News08:47 Trust in Media and Institutions09:22 Potential Solutions and Media Examples13:52 Conclusion: Fixing Trust First16:39 Personal Reflections and Future Plans

Decoding Trump’s Secret Plan to Sabotage the Government:Matt Robison delves into the possibility of a covert Trump strategy to wipe out huge swaths of the government through a "glitch fix.'' Based on his article in Newsweek, available at: https://www.newsweek.com/will-trump-fix-glitch-win-his-war-government-opinion-2031305.If you want to give feedback on the show, you can email Matt directly at robisonmatt@gmail.com.00:00 Introduction: Trump's War on American Government01:38 Programming Note: Changes to the Show03:34 Office Space Analogy: Fixing the Glitch04:42 Elon Musk's Role: Government Efficiency07:43 Legal Implications: Trump's Executive Authority11:58 Conclusion: The Ongoing Assault

 Yes, unfortunately, you read that episode title, right: Today is Alicia Preston Xanthopoulos' last episode of Beyond Politics. Before we got into her big send off, we had to talk about the whole mess of things that are going on from the Trump administration. What's the most concerning? Is there a constitutional crisis happening right now? And what do we think is really the strategy going on behind all of this? And then at the end, yes, we did get to our send off for Alicia with some very special guests. Not kidding. No joke.

While all the focus has been on Trump's executive orders and funding freezes affecting billions of dollars, under the radar, Congress is starting to make decisions affecting trillions of dollars and vital functions of government that Americans rely on. Matt Robison and Congressional insider Ryan McConaghy explore the Democrats' potential leverage points and strategies in the huge upcoming Congressional battles and where everything could land.00:00 Introduction: The Overlooked Question in Trump's Washington01:43 Interview with Ryan McConaughey: Inside Congress02:59 Shock and Awe: Reactions to Trump's Administration05:32 Probing the Limits: Trump's Strategy09:06 Reconciliation and Government Funding Challenges16:42 Democratic Leverage and Legislative Strategy31:14 Predictions and Future Outlook33:37 Conclusion: Final Thoughts and Farewell

 Alicia Preston returns to our regular panel, and like all thoughtful friends, she's brought gifts. In this case, a new poll suggesting that even Republicans are quickly souring on the Elon Musk show, and he may be about to drag Donald Trump down with him. We also got into the less than effective communications that Democrats have been mounting in opposition to Trump over the past two weeks, and the truly awful, obscenely immoral thing that Trump and Musk just did. And hang on until the end when Alicia reveals the ultimate Trump scam that she received live on air in the middle of our show. 00:00 Welcome Back Alicia Preston! 00:17 Republicans Sour on Elon Musk 01:51 Trump's Unfulfilled Promises 02:44 The Reality of Trump's Policies 06:59 The Honeymoon is Over 08:52 Government Spending Debate 11:56 Condescension and Condemnation 17:09 Biden's Role in Inflation 18:00 Democratic Messaging and Campaigning 19:12 Critique of Current Democratic Strategy 20:39 Proposed Legislative Actions 24:46 Forei

Strategic Zen in the Trump Era: Navigating Exhaustion and Overwhelm: Matt Robison joins radio legend Howard Monroe to discuss the coping strategy of 'Strategic Zen' to deal with the overwhelming nature of Trump's second administration. They discuss how critical it is for Democrats to differentiate between significant moves and more transient actions, and how overreacting to every development is counterproductive. 02:33 The Strategic Zen Approach to Trump's Actions 03:36 Interview with Howard Monroe: Coping with the Trump Administration 05:21 The Fire Hose Effect: Managing the Overwhelm 07:43 Something or Nothing: Evaluating Trump's Actions 17:04 The End Game: What Should the Opposition Aim For? 31:20 Conclusion: Finding Calm Amidst the Chaos